2024 Golden Globes Winners – Our Predictions For Every Category!

Jimmy Henton
Jan 03, 2024
Jan 04, 2024

It is difficult to predict the outcome of the 2024 Golden Globe Awards, given the tumultuous history of the organization over the past three years. However, we do know that the ceremony will be broadcasted on Sunday, January 7, on CBS and will be hosted by comedian Jo Koy. In addition to the usual nominations, two new categories have been added for blockbuster films and stand-up specials.

As for the winners, it's anyone's guess who will receive a Globe this year, whether in the film or TV categories. We have given their best guesses in every category. Read on to find out more.

#1. FILM AWARDS: Best Motion Picture – Drama

Source: Apple TV +

Anatomy of a Fall
WINNER: Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
The Zone of Interest
A guide to Hollywood’s biggest races

Now that the HFPA has added new voters to the roster, it’s become a very different awards show to predict. The old HFPA would have gone for Oppenheimer, we think—a big, successful American movie from a British director whom everyone respects. But the new voters—including many journalists of varying stripes—might tilt slightly artier. Which is why we’re predicting Killers of the Flower Moon, a consensus choice between big-name commercial fare and more modern, politically minded cinema. —Richard Lawson

#2. Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Source: Atsushi Nishijima via Searchlight Pictures

Air
American Fiction
Barbie
The Holdovers
May December
WINNER: Poor Things

The HFPA, which is now known as a group, gave the award to The Banshees of Inisherin last year instead of the eventual best-picture winner Everything Everywhere All at Once. This confirms that we cannot assume their choice will align with the best-picture race at the Oscars. We have several strong contenders nominated here, including American Fiction, The Holdovers, and May December.

However, the race is most likely between the blockbuster Barbie (which has the most Globes nominations of any film) and the critically acclaimed Poor Things. It is yet to be seen if the Globes voters will go auteur and weird or honor the box office juggernaut Barbie. It is expected to be a close call, but the addition of the new cinematic-achievement category (where Barbie will most likely win) actually hurts its chances here. - Rebecca Ford

#3. Best Motion Picture – Animated

Source: Studio Ghibli

WINNER: The Boy and the Heron
Elemental
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
The Super Mario Bros. Movie
Suzume
Wish

The unexpected success of a movie that could be Hayao Miyazaki's last film, may be enough to make it win the award, even though Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse is a more popular critical hit. This is a chance for the international Globe voters to show their global perspective. - Katey Rich

#4. Cinematic and Box Office Achievement

Source: IMDb

WINNER: Barbie
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
John Wick: Chapter 4
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
Oppenheimer
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
The Super Mario Bros. Movie
Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour

"I think the winner in this category was created solely to give Barbie a Golden Globe. It could also be Taylor Swift but I believe her nomination was just a ploy to get her to attend the ceremony for the Eras concert movie. If Zack Snyder’s Justice League was eligible, that would have been my pick. Therefore, I still think Barbie will win the award." - Hillary Busis

#5. Best Motion Picture – Non-English Language

Source: Neon

WINNER: Anatomy of a Fall
Fallen Leaves
Io Capitano
Past Lives
Society of the Snow
The Zone of Interest

This particular category has never been so fiercely competitive, as half the nominees - Past Lives, The Zone of Interest, and Anatomy of a Fall - are also in contention for the best motion picture (drama) award. However, only one of these three films is eligible for the equivalent Oscar, as France has submitted The Taste of Things instead of Anatomy as its official contender, and Past Lives is not considered an American film.

This strange rule of the Globes, which allows non-English-language US dramas to compete, has previously favored movies such as Minari. However, it should be noted that in the past, The Farewell lost to Parasite, which was a stronger international Oscar contender. While it cannot be said that Anatomy of a Fall is at the same level as Parasite, Justine Triet's layered legal drama has been receiving critical acclaim so far, and the globe's recognition of it suggests that this may continue. - David Canfield

#6. Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Source: Getty

Annette Bening, Nyad
WINNER: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
Greta Lee, Past Lives
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Cailee Spaeny, Priscilla

Cailee Spaeny is the only nominee for Priscilla, making it unlikely for her to win here. Although Carey Mulligan and Greta Lee both deliver outstanding performances in their respective films, it may not be enough to secure a win. Sandra Hüller, with her international appeal, has a chance of winning, especially considering the strong performance of the film in other nominations.

Annette Bening, who has been nominated for 10 Globes and won twice, is a strong contender. However, Gladstone seems to have the momentum, having already won a Gotham Award, NBR, NYFCC, and many other critics prizes for a different film. - R.F.

#7. Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Source: Evan Agostini/Invision/AP

WINNER: Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Barry Keoghan, Saltburn
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers

Despite weeks of critics ' awards, there is still no clear favorite in the category. This makes it one of the most closely-watched races of the night. The Golden Globes voting body has changed significantly, meaning that star power does not guarantee an automatic win.

However, Bradley Cooper may have an edge over others due to his A-list status and deep commitment to both starring in and directing Maestro. His toughest competition is most likely Cillian Murphy or Leonardo DiCaprio, but with Maestro newly on Netflix, it feels like the energy might be in Cooper's favor.

#8. Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Source: Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images

Fantasia Barrino, The Color Purple
Jennifer Lawrence, No Hard Feelings
Natalie Portman, May December
Alma Pöysti, Fallen Leaves
Margot Robbie, Barbie
WINNER: Emma Stone, Poor Things

There are three contenders for this category. Portman, Robbie, and Stone. Portman was great in May-December, but it's not a comedy. Robbie produced and starred in Barbie, but her role wasn't as significant. Therefore, I'm betting on Stone, who played Bella Baxter in an imaginative European tale. The Globes voters may identify with her journey. - H.B.

#9. Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Source: HBO

Nicolas Cage, Dream Scenario
Timothée Chalamet, Wonka
Matt Damon, Air
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Joaquin Phoenix, Beau Is Afraid
WINNER: Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

Wright is likely to be chosen as the representative of his acclaimed film because he's long overdue for a big, awards lead role and has one of the strongest narratives of the year. While Giamatti is a strong contender, Wright's bitter academic character is perhaps less bitter.

Chalamet is charming in Wonka, Damon is delightfully disheveled in Air, Cage returns to his Adaptation style in Dream Scenario, and Phoenix delivers his signature dazed murmur in Beau Is Afraid. All are strong performances, but Wright stands out. —R.L.

#10. Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture

Source: Seacia Pavao/Focus Features

Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Julianne Moore, May December
Rosamund Pike, Saltburn
WINNER: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

It is possible that Moore could win at the Globes because of the self-aware drama in the movie May December. However, Randolph has been the frontrunner this season and is expected to win for her portrayal of a mourning mother in Alexander Payne's boarding school drama. If Randolph does not win, it could change the trajectory of the competition. But if Randolph wins, her positive momentum is likely to propel her toward another win.

#11. Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture

Source: Universal Pictures

Willem Dafoe, Poor Things
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
WINNER: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Charles Melton, May December
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things

In the December awards voting, Charles Melton was a popular choice among critics. However, he is now competing against several renowned stars and two legendary performers in a bigger awards ceremony. It is expected to be a showdown between Barbie and Oppenheimer, but we predict that Robert Downey Jr. will make a comeback this awards season, starting with this event. -K.R.

#12. Best Director

Source: VENTURELLI/WIREIMAGE

Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
WINNER: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Celine Song, Past Lives

The Golden Globes' directing category is the true showdown, with Martin Scorsese being the favorite. Christopher Nolan and Greta Gerwig are strong contenders, but only one director who won the Golden Globe for directing a comedy or musical has won since 1986. Historically, the Golden Globes tend to rubber-stamp the presumed Oscar front-runner in this category. So Nolan or Scorsese may have the advantage. - D.C

#13. Best Screenplay

Source: Sean DiSerio

Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach, Barbie
Tony McNamara, Poor Things
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Celine Song, Past Lives
WINNER: Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, Anatomy of a Fall

Many previous nominees are in the category again this year, but none of them have won. The voters will likely choose a film that's not likely to win elsewhere. Celine Song for Past Lives or Justine Triet and Arthur Harari for Anatomy of a Fall are likely winners. The category has been won by Irish films for the past two years, but we believe that the voters will favor a European contender this year and give the win to Triet and Harari.

#14. Best Original Score

Source: Getty

Jerskin Fendrix, Poor Things
Ludwig Göransson, Oppenheimer
WINNER: Joe Hisaishi, The Boy and the Heron
Mica Levi, The Zone of Interest
Daniel Pemberton, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Robbie Robertson, Killers of the Flower Moon

This passage is a hopeful prediction about the possibility of Joe Hisaishi's musical score for the movie "The Boy and the Heron" being recognized and awarded for its quality. The author believes that Hisaishi's music is incredibly beautiful and moving, with a mix of melancholy and hope that creates a dreamy and captivating atmosphere. The author thinks that this score may be a more fitting choice for the newly expanded Golden Globes electorate compared to other nominees. The text was written by R.L.

#15. Best Original Song

Source: Warner Bros. Pictures

“Addicted to Romance,” She Came to Me
“Dance the Night,” Barbie
WINNER: “I’m Just Ken,” Barbie
“Peaches,” The Super Mario Bros. Movie
“Road to Freedom,” Rustin
“What Was I Made For?,” Barbie

Three Barbie songs might split votes, giving way to a dark horse like Lenny Kravitz's Rustin ballad or the viral Mario song, "Peaches." "What Was I Made For?" and "I'm Just Ken" are the most popular Barbie songs, with only one getting a Christmas remix. Can they beat Billie Eilish's Oscar-winning original? Unlikely. But honestly, we're rooting for the Kens. - K.R.

#16. TV AWARDS: Best Television Series

Source: RICH POLK/NBC VIA GETTY

1923
The Crown
The Diplomat
The Last of Us
The Morning Show
WINNER: Succession

It would be quite surprising if The Morning Show wins over Succession at the upcoming Emmys. Succession is widely regarded as the best television series of the past few years, making it a tough opponent for Apple's drama. Although The Morning Show may be interesting to watch, it's unlikely to beat Jesse Armstrong's popular show just a week before it wins at The Emmys once again. Better luck next time, UBA.

#17. Best Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Source: IMDb

Abbott Elementary
Barry
WINNER: The Bear
Jury Duty
Only Murders in the Building
Ted Lasso

The Golden Globe voters rarely give the same show the win twice in the same category, putting last year's winner, Abbott Elementary, at a slight disadvantage. We predict a newer show will win, making dark horse Jury Duty a fun choice. However, The Bear, nominated last year and with a strong second season, is our top pick. Note that The Bear's second season is nominated at the Globes, while its first season is nominated at the Emmys (on January 15).

#18. Best Television Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television

Source: Andrew Cooper/Netflix

All the Light We Cannot See
WINNER: Beef
Daisy Jones & the Six
Fargo
Fellow Travelers
Lessons in Chemistry

The limited series in the latter half of 2023 were few. Despite the Golden Globes' tendency to choose unconventional winners, the Emmy front-runner is the Netflix dark comedy Beef. Its critical acclaim and high viewership numbers make it a strong contender. Showtime's Fellow Travelers, a well-received late entrant, might surprise voters, but Beef remains the clear favorite. - D.C.

#19. Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Source: MACALL POLAY

Helen Mirren, 1923
Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us
Keri Russell, The Diplomat
WINNER: Sarah Snook, Succession
Imelda Staunton, The Crown
Emma Stone, The Curse

Snook's outstanding performance in "Succession" is expected to win her the Globe award for the lead category, despite Stone's brilliant portrayal in "The Curse" and Staunton's iconic character. Snook has already won a Globe award in the supporting category last year and is now a favorite for the lead category in her final season. - R.L.

#20. Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Source: Macall B. Polay/HBO

Brian Cox, Succession
WINNER: Kieran Culkin, Succession
Gary Oldman, Slow Horses
Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us
Jeremy Strong, Succession
Dominic West, The Crown

"If we consider Jeremy Strong as the front-runner and Brian Cox as the dark horse, then Culkin seems like a strong contender for winning this category. His performance in the final season of Succession was impressive, and selecting him for the award would demonstrate that the Globes still have a good but slightly quirky taste. Although he may be Logan Roy's second or even third choice, I believe that on Sunday, Roman will be the clear winner." —H.B.

#21. Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Source: AMY SUSSMAN/WIREIMAGE

Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
WINNER: Ayo Edebiri, The Bear
Elle Fanning, The Great
Selena Gomez, Only Murders in the Building
Natasha Lyonne, Poker Face

The Golden Globes used to reward new and often female faces on TV. This year, Ayo Edebiri, star of The Bear, is a frontrunner, with only one other nominee from a new show. Last year's winner, Quinta Brunson, is also in the running. But with The Bear's expected popularity, Edebiri should have her moment on stage. - K.R.

#22. Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Source: AFI

Bill Hader, Barry
Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building
Jason Segel, Shrinking
Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building
Jason Sudeikis, Ted Lasso
WINNER: Jeremy Allen White, The Bear

Jeremy Allen White is a strong contender for the best actor in a comedy series at both the Emmy and Golden Globe Awards. He is delivering an outstanding dramatic performance on TV, making it highly likely that he will win both awards in the next month. However, the Golden Globe Awards are more likely to change course as they have already honored the Bear star. Past Globe voters have made stranger choices than Shrinking's Jason Segel.

#23. Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Source: STEVE GRANITZ/WIREIMAGE

Riley Keough, Daisy Jones & the Six
WINNER: Brie Larson, Lessons in Chemistry
Elizabeth Olsen, Love & Death
Juno Temple, Fargo
Rachel Weisz, Dead Ringers
Ali Wong, Beef

This category is highly competitive. Ali Wong is the safest bet, but Rachel Weisz shouldn't be underestimated. The Globes' nomination for her suggests her work in Dead Ringers was appreciated. Brie Larson is a late-breaking TV contender for her role in Lessons in Chemistry. She's a big star and past winner, delivering one of her best performances in years. Our prediction? A little unpredictability in this category. -D.C.

#24. Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Source: Greg Swales for Variety

Matt Bomer, Fellow Travelers
Sam Claflin, Daisy Jones & the Six
Jon Hamm, Fargo
Woody Harrelson, White House Plumbers
David Oyelowo, Lawmen: Bass Reeves
WINNER: Steven Yeun, Beef

It's hard to judge this category based on past years, where wins were often due to the star power of actors. Let's hope that the newly reformed Globes will vote with their hearts and award Yeun for his exceptional performance in Netflix's genre-bending series. —H.B.

#25. Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role on Television

Source: Netflix

WINNER: Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown
Abby Elliott, The Bear
Christina Ricci, Yellowjackets
J. Smith-Cameron, Succession
Meryl Streep, Only Murders in the Building
Hannah Waddingham, Ted Lasso

Elizabeth Debicki's portrayal of Princess Diana in The Crown has been outstanding. Many believe she deserves recognition for her sensitive performance, despite tough competition from Meryl Streep and declining interest in other shows.

#26. Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role on Television

Source: DIMITRIOS KAMBOURIS/WIREIMAGE

Billy Crudup, The Morning Show
WINNER: Matthew Macfadyen, Succession
James Marsden, Jury Duty
Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear
Alan Ruck, Succession
Alexander Skarsgård, Succession

In Succession, the one who controls Waystar Royco wins the Golden Globe. There were many great performances, but Tom Wambsgans emerged as a standout. Matthew Macfadyen stands a good chance of winning against other comedy stars, including James Marsden. - K.R.

#27. Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television

Source: Richard Shotwell/Invision/AP

Ricky Gervais, Ricky Gervais: Armageddon
Trevor Noah, Trevor Noah: Where Was I
WINNER: Chris Rock, Chris Rock: Selective Outrage
Amy Schumer, Amy Schumer: Emergency Contact
Sarah Silverman, Sarah Silverman: Someone You Love
Wanda Sykes, Wanda Sykes: I’m an Entertainer

The Globes may benefit from Chris Rock discussing the slap at their event. Rock is a natural fit for the inaugural award in comedy. His first-of-a-kind live special set a streaming record for Netflix.