Welcome to the predicting phase 5 RT based off Ant-Man. With one of the MCU's worst Rotten Tomatoes scores, Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania raises concerns about the future Rotten Tomatoes scores for Phase 5. Until Eternals received a Rotten rating, the MCU had a perfect record on Rotten Tomatoes. However, with Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania being the second Rotten movie in the franchise, there are worries that this trend might affect other Phase 5 movies.
The Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) set the standard for Rotten Tomatoes scores by achieving 25 consecutive Fresh ratings, an impressive feat considering the franchise released over two dozen films in just over a decade. This perfect record surpassed even Pixar's Rotten Tomatoes record. However, the streak came to a halt with two of the next six movies earning Rotten ratings. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania, which features the introduction of the MCU's next major villain, Kang the Conqueror (played by Jonathan Majors) and marks the beginning of Phase 5, is now the franchise's second Rotten movie. Does this negative trend indicate potential issues for the rest of Phase 5?
#1. The MCU's Rotten Tomatoes Scores Are Trending Downward
Source: screenrant
Although the MCU had an almost impeccable record in Rotten Tomatoes, its average review score has been on a downward trend for some time. The franchise's average rating had been increasing with each phase, reaching a high of 85 percent with Spider-Man: Far From Home. However, it has been declining since then, dropping to 81 percent with Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania. Despite numerous Fresh releases, the MCU's Rotten Tomatoes average remained stable for a while. Nevertheless, the score is now trending down with several lower-scoring Fresh films, such as Thor: Love and Thunder at 64 percent, and a couple of Rotten movies, including Eternals and Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania.
The Rotten Tomatoes audience score for the MCU tells a slightly different story. After trending upwards and reaching its peak following Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, with an overall average of 83 percent, the audience score has since declined to 82 percent. Breaking down the average by phases makes the downward trend more apparent. In Phase 1, the average audience score was 79 percent, in Phase 2 it was 84 percent, in Phase 3 it was 83 percent, and in Phase 4 it was 81 percent.
#2. The MCU's Critic/Audience Divide Is Growing With Each Phase
Source: MovieWeb
The first two Phases of the MCU were universally praised by both critics and audiences, but a noticeable gap has emerged between their respective Rotten Tomatoes scores. On average, there is a seven-point divide between audience and critic scores for all MCU films. The split between audience and critic scores has increased steadily over the years. For Phase 1, the split was a mere two points, while for Phase 2, it grew to four points. Phase 3 saw the split increase to nine points, and Phase 4 peaked with an average split of 11 points.
Although both audience and critic scores of the MCU are declining in Rotten Tomatoes, the widening gap between them is largely attributed to the steeper decline in critic scores. Despite being criticized for sticking to a tried-and-true "Marvel formula," the franchise has been generating more divisive reactions among both audiences and critics. While it's uncertain whether this shift is a reflection of the films becoming more polarizing or a change in the expectations of the audience and critics, the scores are clearly showing a downward trend with an increasing divide between them.
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#3. Ant-Man And The Wasp Continues The MCU's Worst Rotten Tomatoes Trends
Source: Koimoi
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania, as the inaugural movie of MCU's Phase 5, is a reflection of the larger Rotten Tomatoes predicament plaguing the franchise. With a "Rotten" score of 48 percent, it's only the second MCU movie to receive such a low rating. Moreover, it has the largest divide between critic and audience scores of any MCU movie, with a 35-point gap. This separation is well above the average 7 points and more than three times the 11-point average seen in Phase 4.
Given that the trend of decreasing shared sentiment between critics and audiences in Rotten Tomatoes has been observed in the MCU before the release of Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania, it is interesting to see how this behavior will play out in the rest of Phase 5. Although the extreme separation between critics and audiences in Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania may not be representative of the rest of Phase 5, it does not bode well for the possibility of a significant shift in sentiment that would bring the franchise back to the shared positive reception experienced in Phase 1.
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The data suggests that there's a stronger alignment between critics and audiences when it comes to the established Avengers characters, while newer additions to the MCU tend to generate more polarized opinions. However, as Phase 5 features several sequels to popular franchises, this trend could shift. It's worth noting that while Captain Marvel had a significant critic/audience split, Black Panther was previously the biggest culprit, yet its sequel, Wakanda Forever, had the lowest split in Phase 4. This means that while The Marvels may follow the same pattern as its predecessor, it's not a foregone conclusion.
In summary, the negative trends in the MCU's Rotten Tomatoes scores, including the significant divide between critics and audiences, may not be as prominent in Phase 5 of the franchise. While there is a possibility that the average score could continue to decline and the divide could grow, it is unlikely to be as extreme as with Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania. Ultimately, reviews are subjective and should not impact individual enjoyment of a film. However, it will be interesting to see if the disagreement between critics and audiences persists in the MCU's future releases.
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